“In fact we’re watching this with warning,” mentioned L.A. director of Public Well being Barbara Ferrer immediately. “We’re all noticing truly the case price throughout California inched up as a complete, in addition to the uptick in hospitalizations,” which she mentioned have been up about 5%.
In Los Angeles, Ferrer reported the take a look at positivity rose to 1.2% immediately from a low 0.7% on October 18. That will not appear to be a lot, nevertheless it’s a 71% rise over the previous 10 days in a measure that’s a 7-day common, which smooths out each day bumps.
Statewide, take a look at positivity is way greater and has risen 25% over roughly the identical interval. It’s elevated from a low of two% final week to 2.5% immediately. Each state and county take a look at positivity charges had been falling for months after their summer time peaks.
Among the many considerations is “seasonality within the virus,” Ferrer noticed, which means viruses like Covid and the flu are likely to propagate extra readily because the climate cools and other people spend extra time collectively indoors.
“All of us lived via a devastating November/December final yr,” mentioned Ferrer. “We’ve got to study from previous historical past to not transfer shortly after we see a slight downward pattern, provided that we’re transferring into colder climate.”
Certainly, with 61% of all L.A. County residents totally vaccinated and the tempo of vaccinations slowing, “We’re all gonna want further safety to proceed to drive our numbers down. There’s all the time the potential for a brand new variant,” she noticed.
“We’ve bought to be aware of the winter months and safely having fun with the vacations collectively,” mentioned Newsom on Wednesday. “We now have the prospect of a flu season that was mitigated final yr” by masks and social distancing coming roaring again. He cited the potential for a “twindemic” of elevated flu instances and one other winter wave of Covid after final yr’s flu was mitigated by elevated masks sporting, which has abated considerably. In any case, it was proper in regards to the finish of October when the winter 2020 surge started accelerating.
“This time final yr,” noticed the governor, “we had about 6,000 instances. One month later we had 18,000 instances. One month after that, we had 54,000.”
“Principally,” he mentioned, the state noticed “a tripling of instances.” Couple that with elevated flu and children again at school, and Newsom mentioned he’s involved.
“What’s happening within the UK proper now?” he requested. “It’s a month or so forward. What’s happening in Israel?
“The one factor we’ve realized previously 18 months,” he continued, is “humility” within the face of Covid.
https://deadline.com/2021/10/los-angeles-california-covid-positivity-rate-rise-1234864581/ | Los Angeles, CA Covid Positivity Charges Rise For First Time in Months – Deadline