Just like China could “crush” the US in Taiwan by overrunning the defenses in just DAYS

AMERICA could be crushed by China in a war over Taiwan within days – and “urgently” needs to step up its war preparations, a leading expert has said.

The chilling warning from Chinese military authority Oriana Skylar Mastro comes after years of simulations showing crushing defeats for America.


Oriana Skylar Mastro is a leading expert on China's military


Oriana Skylar Mastro is a leading expert on China’s militaryCredit: FSI
Chinese troops are preparing to invade Taiwan


Chinese troops are preparing to invade TaiwanPhoto credit: China National Radio

China considers Taiwan part of its territory and has vowed union with the mainland, by force if necessary, while Joe Biden recently pledged that the US will defend the island.

Taiwan is effectively an independent country, although unrecognized internationally, but any move toward full independence will almost certainly result in war.

Should that happen, Skylar Mastro outlined what she described as “a worst-case scenario and one that will be the most difficult for the United States to navigate.”

And over the years, simulations have shown the US facing defeat in a war with China – with some war games showing Beijing “running rings” around them.

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Skylar Mastro describes the beginning of the war as a “massive volley of missiles” fired from China.

The attack destroys the only effective air base in the region and ends a week later with Chinese forces stationed securely on Taiwan in a war the US could “absolutely” lose.

In an attack on Kadena on the Japanese island of Okinawa, the base could be disabled “within hours” with “60 percent of the aircraft” lost, Skylar Mastro says.

What happens next is the attack on Taiwan itself, again using missiles to attack air defenses, followed by the main amphibious assault, she said.

They will also launch attacks on Taiwan’s political targets to “make the leadership surrender.”

If the United States tries to defend Taiwan, China will launch cyber attacks to disable communications, particularly satellites.

The timeframe for this first phase “if everything goes according to plan, everything I’ve just laid down, it would probably be three days”.

The Chinese goal is not to fight a protracted war with a still technologically superior America “that it will lose,” but taking Taiwan will represent a victory.

“Have they defeated the United States if they take Taiwan before the United States can fight?” she said.

“You can still have an inferior military and still do that.

“They know that if we can prevent them from landing for two to three weeks before the full strength of the US Pacific Forces comes into play, they can get in trouble and lose.

“If they can get a foothold in Taiwan in a week, then it’s over.

“And once they are there, there is nothing the United States can do to get rid of them.

“We are not prepared to fight a war on the level necessary to get them off the island.”

Why is Taiwan a flashpoint between the US and China?

The dispute over Taiwan goes back to the Chinese civil war, which ended in 1949 with the victory of the Communist Party of Mao Zedong.

Taiwan — with a population of just 22 million — was recognized by the Chinese government as the government of China until 1971, when the mainland took its seat at the United Nations.

China’s deposed leader Chiang Kaishek, supported by the US, fled the island of Taiwan, about 100 miles off the coast of the mainland, with his defeating troops.

Since then, Taiwan has developed an identity of its own and has become a thriving democratic country with close ties to the West, particularly the US.

The party, led by its current President Tsai Ingwen, has independence as its primary goal.

But China still considers the island part of its territory and has vowed to reunite it by force if necessary.

Even a vote on independence is widely seen as a catalyst for war.

To that end, China has poured billions into modernizing its military, including building an aircraft carrier fleet to rival the US Navy.

This has put the country on a collision course with the US, its main arms supplier.

President Joe Biden recently said America will defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack.

Tensions have risen in recent years as US air and sea forces patrol the seas around Taiwan, much to China’s annoyance.

Chinese warplanes regularly circle the island as rehearsals for the invasion intensify.

The missile attack scenario is also laid out in a new book, Defending Taiwan, by foreign policy experts Hal Brands and Michael Beckley.

Brands and Beckley warn that in the “most worrying” scenario, Beijing would attempt to launch a “surprise missile attack” on American forces in Asia.

China has significantly upgraded its military in recent years, spending billions to meet President Xi Jinping’s goal of catching up with the US by 2027.

It recently launched a 100,000 aircraft carrier, the first to reach US Navy strength for the first time.

Previous war games have shown that the US could lose a war with China.

In a game held last year, the Red Team played the role of the Chinese, who shut down US communications in the process of winning.

They “ran rings” around their opponent, Deputy Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Gen. John Hyten.

In 2019, the US was “handed its ass” in a war game conducted by the RAND Corporation think tank.

But while Skylar Mastro says the war games have revealed “significant vulnerabilities” over the years, the US is still not fully confronted with the challenges.

Problems include a failure to persuade allies in the region to allow US fighter jets and missiles there to match China’s.

The ability to quickly achieve increased arms production and even shortages of ammunition supplies in the region are also issues that need to be addressed, says Skylar Mastro.

“How worried should we be about the preparations? Very concerned.

“These vulnerabilities have been known for as long as I’ve been doing this—20 years.

“As much as people talk about the urgency of dealing with them, I don’t see that urgency in practice.”

“Right now we can’t even convince the South Koreans to allow us to deploy US forces stationed there.”

But as the US tries to grapple with raising its level of preparedness, Beijing’s determination to invade Taiwan remains unbroken.

“China is determined to retake Taiwan. Anyone who thinks otherwise is the sort of person who, when the Russians were massing troops on the border with Ukraine, thought they were just hanging around.

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“This is the ultimate goal of the Communist Party and what its military is designed for.

“If you listen to rhetoric and think they won’t, then you don’t know China.”

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https://www.the-sun.com/news/5672201/china-taiwan-crushes-us-war-days/ Just like China could “crush” the US in Taiwan by overrunning the defenses in just DAYS


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