It is election day in America and the nation can’t take its eyes off Virginia, the place Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin are in a neck-and-neck struggle to develop into the subsequent governor of the historically-blue commonwealth, CNBC reports.
The race has develop into considerably of a bellweather for the nationwide political perspective and a harbinger of what is to come back in 2022 midterms, when Democrats’ management of Congress is up for grabs. Nevertheless, although it is after all nonetheless early, well-known Republican pollster and strategist Frank Luntz predicts there’s “about an 80 % probability” that Youngkin prevails in opposition to McAuliffe, per CNBC.
“The Democrat is the incumbent and it appears just like the incumbent goes to lose,” Luntz informed Squawk Field. The present Democratic governor of Virginia cannot run for reelection as a result of he can solely serve one time period consecutively. McAuliffe beforehand served as goveror from 2014 to 2018.
Luntz defined that of the 4 occasions within the final 50 years that the minority occasion “received the Home from the incumbents,” Virginia predicted the end result with 100% accuracy. That’s is “why everyone’s watching it so carefully,” he mentioned.
No matter occurs, The Washington Post‘s Greg Sargent believes the Virginia election has highlighted the “communications imbalance” between Democrats and Republicans, during which the GOP can fireplace up and talk with its base instantly by way of right-wing media whereas Democrats in any other case wrestle. “The Democratic Get together wants to determine methods to extra actively courtroom its base voters frequently,” strategist David Turner informed Sargent. Learn extra at The Washington Post.
https://theweek.com/politics/1006705/gop-pollster-frank-luntz-predicts-glenn-youngkin-will-likely-prevail-in-virginia | GOP pollster Frank Luntz predicts Glenn Youngkin will doubtless prevail in Virginia election