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China’s ‘zero-Covid’ policy could lead to thousands of deaths and oust President Xi Jinping in a coup, expert claims

China’s zero-Covid policy could be President Xi Jinping’s undoing as his over-hyped strategy has “locked the country into isolation” from the rest of China, according to one expert. world, according to one expert.

Former diplomat Roger Garside believes the Communist regime has backed it China into a niche because its fiercely uncompromising approach could “hurt them or cause a political crisis”.

One expert claims Xi Jinping could be ousted from power by fed-up opponents from within his own party

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One expert claims Xi Jinping could be ousted from power by fed-up opponents from within his own partyCredit: AP
Expert Roger Garside believes China is being'isolated' as the rest of the world moves to live with Covid

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Expert Roger Garside believes China is being ‘isolated’ as the rest of the world moves to live with CovidCredit: Getty

The expert said that by refusing to import vaccines and implementing severe restrictions, the massive 1.4 billion population was “unable to achieve herd immunity”.

As a result, Mr. Garside believes that tough policy could now have a “heavy cost” to the Chinese economy and society as people grapple with the rapidly spreading epidemic and unemployment caused by businesses. business was forced to close.

Instead of learning to live with the virus like other countries in the world, the dictatorship’s response to the pandemic is instead aim no case with tightly closed borders, mass checks and extensive quarantines.

Meanwhile, most countries are increasingly relying on large-scale, relaxed, more pragmatic terms when it comes to testing and masking – but instead, the regime is causing anxiety. Fear and anxiety spread by having police raid entire buildings late at night for inspection.

And of China brutal strategy look extreme restrictions apply to towns and cities with only a handful of infections, with entire buildings or areas locked down even if only one case was recorded of people testing positive transferred to horror isolation camps.

Last month, Liang Wannian – head of China’s National Health Commission’s Covid task force – said the policy was “certainly not something that will go on forever”.

But it is feared that there will be no end to China’s strict policy as abandoning it could result in thousands of deaths.

The easing of restrictions in Covid-zero regions like China could cause around 2 million deaths in a year, according to researchers from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. The key is to control the virus and develop better vaccines to prevent infection.

Within a few months, China’s policy appears to have gone from an impressive record of preventing up to 200 million infections and three million deaths to a situation that could easily spiral out of control. outbreaks of disease in towns and cities.

In Hong Kong, cases of the Omicron variant have emerged, spreading rapidly among the city’s population – overwhelming an already stressed healthcare system.

Now, question marks are raised about how sustainable the hard line strategy, as Mr. Garside believes, can now play a role. part of Xi .’s downfall when he resolutely resisted pressure to abandon the policy – alienating China more and more from the rest of the world when adopting the strategy of Living with Covid.

With Mr. Xi poised to be reappointed as Communist Party leader later this year, Mr. Garside said his prospects could be “destroyed” if Omicron or another variant “pierces through China’s defences.” Nation and a Covid tsunami devastated society”.

He told The Sun Online: “It is conceivable that their Covid-19 strategy will either attack them or cause a political crisis.

“China has a serious problem in its zero-Covid strategy as the rest of the world is moving towards living with Covid – thanks to a combination of effective vaccines and herd immunity.

“We are aiming to treat Covid as an endemic species. And China can’t do that at the moment because they haven’t developed herd immunity: their vaccine has proven to be much less effective than our mRNA vaccine, and the lockdown They seriously prevent humans from gaining immunity to infection.

“They have refused to import vaccines made abroad because under Xi Jinping, they want to prove to the world that their governance model is superior to ours.”

China has the strictest Covid rules in the world - including draconian quarantine camps

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China has the strictest Covid rules in the world – including draconian quarantine camps
China's lockdown breakers are said to encourage compliance as the regime enforces its ruthless Zero-Covid policy

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China’s lockdown breakers are said to encourage compliance as the regime enforces its ruthless Zero-Covid policyCredit: Twitter

Mr. Garside – author of China Coup: The Great Leap to Freedom – said the country is now rushing to develop an mRNA vaccine after initially choosing to use traditional inactivated virus technology to create TB shots. been shown to induce a weaker immune response.

He believes the country is in an ideological recession with the rest of the world as Mr. Xi battles between losing political face due to no longer clinging to the zero-Covid policy – or suffering the effects of the pandemic. disadvantage when being “isolated” from the world because of strategy.

“If they want to save China, they may need to reverse their decision not to import vaccines abroad – this would be a major political escalation,” he added.

Mr Garside said that the regime had “worked hard to convince its subjects” that the strategy had been a “huge success” – but believed that people would calculate the cost with economic issues. and social.

But he said the severity of such consequences was “impossible to say” because “the regime does not publish exhaustive, national estimates of the costs to the economy”, with “severe censorship”. strict” for officials and citizens to describe social costs.

“It’s clear from the piece of published information that there are major costs,” he said.

“There is a price to pay for unemployment – an economist at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences estimates that by the end of March 2020, around 80 million workers may have been unemployed.

“Tens of millions of migrant workers have been stranded in their home areas, unable to return to the cities where they worked.”

And small businesses have also been affected, with 4.37 million closing in China while only 1.32 million were newly registered, according to Tianyancha, a business data and investigation platform.

Mr Garside said there were also “huge costs” in government spending – for example, the local government in the city of Guangzhou spent almost £1 billion testing 32 million people after the outbreak only several hundred cases.

The expert added: “Similar closures have been imposed in other major cities and the cost to the government should be similar.

It is conceivable that their Covid-19 strategy will explode or cause a political crisis.

Roger Garside

Mr. Garside believes that fed up opponents in his own party see his supremacy and leadership style as “a setback to a failed model of domination” and can use it as a weapon. bullets to overthrow him.

And world leaders – reeling from China’s mysterious release of Covid-19 to the world but stalling a thorough investigation as officials continue to dismiss claims the virus leaked from a lab in Wuhan – could help engineer his overthrow from scratch.

“If there is no pandemic in China before October, I would expect Mr. Xi to be reappointed as Party leader for another five-year term, but I believe he will be ousted from power,” Mr. Garside said. force in the next few years”.

“He has pushed himself far at home and abroad by leading China in a direction that many in power within the party – not to mention outsiders – see as regressive, contrary to the Chinese model of governance. Nation failed.

“It is important that the United States and its allies use their power to encourage and facilitate those in the Chinese leadership who want a free China to get there.

“The US can impose sanctions on foreign banks that will kill them. To put it bluntly, the US holds life and death through the international banking system.

“And the US and its allies also control the world’s major reserve currencies. Are we prepared to use these sanctions, this leverage? I believe we should develop develop strategies to do so.

“As we’ve seen with Huawei, the sanctions have done a lot of damage to that company.”

But Ashok Swain, Professor of Peace and Conflict Studies at Uppsala University, has argued that because China is such a huge country, its tough policies will not hurt the economy.

“Even in 2021, when the rest of the world economy turns negative, the Chinese economy will continue to grow,” he told The Sun Online.

“Xi sees that his country has become rich and influential enough to be isolated by shutting down the country.”

Extreme restrictions are imposed on towns and cities with only a handful of infections.

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Extreme restrictions are imposed on towns and cities with only a handful of infections.Credit: Alamy
Residents in Xi'an city banned from driving after hitting a strict roadblock

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Residents in Xi’an city banned from driving after hitting a strict roadblockCredit: Alamy

https://www.the-sun.com/news/4936564/chinas-zero-covid-policy-end-xi-jinping-virus/ China’s ‘zero-Covid’ policy could lead to thousands of deaths and oust President Xi Jinping in a coup, expert claims

DevanCole

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